
This morning GM reported quarterly earnings of $1.3 billion dollars for the second quarter of 2010 on revenue of $33 billion, up 43% from a year ago. If you like your earnings expressed as EBIT (which GM does-or earnings before interest and taxes), then the profit was $2.0 billion. This is the largest quarterly earnings report since 2004.
Most of the earnings, $1.6 billion’s worth, came out of GM North America, while GM International also posted a gain of $700 million. GM Europe continues to be GM’s anchor, losing $200 million…which really is quite hard to believe astonishing. Cash flow from operating activities was pegged at $2.8 billion and GM was left with $32.5 billion in the bank going forward. (including monies in escrow)
The numbers are a success for GM in more than just a reported bottom line number. They are, in essence, the completion of the work that Chris Liddell (GM Vice Chairman and Chief Financial Officer) was brought in from Microsoft exclusively to do, namely resurrect GM’s finance quickly and get out the IPO. If there is one thing the former CFO of Microsoft knows better than anyone else how to do, its ‘hittng the number’ and managing expectations…his run at Microsoft was near flawless. Mr. Liddell’s track record of achieving all goals set in front of him continues at GM.
Don’t believe that Liddell was brought in primarily to set the table for a IPO? Follow the money. Chris Liddell is paid $750,000 per year by GM, but he gets 5.45 million in stock specifically if the IPO is a success. That 5.45 million is money that will be well earned. Mr. Liddell now seems well suited to take over the company when current CEO Ed Whitacre Jr. goes silently into the night.
On the earnings report, Mr. Liddell assesses his (and GM’s) accomplishment, “I am pleased with our progress on achieving our business objectives, we have delivered strong product, maintained cost discipline, progressed strategic initiatives such as restructuring Europe and acquiring AmeriCredit, and delivered two consecutive quarters of profitability and positive cash flow.”
The question since GM left bankruptcy protection and started to file quarterly earnings again was not would they turn a profit…but would they show enough? Would the balance sheet stay pristine? Could sales strengthen in a tough environment? The short answer is yes. It has been such a success that the reclusive Mr. Whitacre came out in public over 1 time this month to talk about what a success the Q2 earnings would likely be ahead of the news today…a personal best in appearances for him.
Now does this mean that it was a smart financial move in the long run to buy sales and show a profit at all costs for the quarters between bankruptcy and today? Can you justify incentives once again cresting $4,000 (Edmunds) when the company is supposed to be returning to fiscal discipline? Can a company that had said only a year or so ago that a fleet level of over 20% of sales was unacceptable, now really think bumping that number up to 31% to ensure year over year sales increases is turning the corner? How about the ‘undeletion’ of a 1,000 dealers previously said to be undesirable? Good move? How about the addition of AmeriCredit so they can sell cars to the sub-prime customers that really shouldn’t be buying them? Is that savvy? Is the announcement of re-acquiring a 5 billion dollar line of credit really a net positive?
The answer is a resounding maybe.
Normally I am a pessimist and would say no, these examples are hideous ways to do business, this is old GM. However, in this case, GM did these automotive atrocities with a purpose…not to just keep the paychecks running to the top of the Ren Center as long as possible and to push their problems down the road a little further. These crimes against common sense were done to set table for the IPO, to make the company go public this year, and to make this offering live up to even a fraction of the lofty expectations placed on it. In other words, these insanities were done with a sane reason, and that makes them acceptable. The potential reward is greater than the risk taken.
With the two successful quarters reported and out of the way, the next step is to file for their IPO with the SEC, and then to rid itself of some of the 61% government ownership in the company (and to raise a little cash for themselves of course).
At the time of press, ‘sources’ inside GM say the company will file with the SEC on Friday, meaning the company will be on the open market again before elections in November. (With ‘sources’ in this case likely being the same fellows who penned their quarterly earnings announcement) GM’s IPO will likely be the largest in American history.
Will the fall sale of GM be a success? That question still remains unanswered. But regardless of the end result, GM has done their very best (or worst) to convince the world that they are a company that can grow, make money and sell cars. A necessary evil these days in the world of automotive IPOs (Tesla anyone?)
Their strong balance sheet, flush with government money, has let Chris Liddell wave his magic wand over GM’s sales and quarterly earnings, and sell the heck out of company that has no business being valued as high as they ultimately will be on that fateful day in November when the public once again lines up to buy shares of the American institution; but if they are disciplined enough, someday they may actually be the automotive juggernaut they are attempting to convince everyone they already are.
Once the IPO is complete, I expect GM, under Chris Liddell’s leadership (either as CFO or CEO), to attempt to right the ship very quickly. The streak of monthly year over year sales gains will come to a end. Fleet sales will drop. Incentives will fall. No longer will the starting point of negotiating to buy a Silverado be $5,000 off.
In truth, GM likely will make little to no profit in the quarters after next…maybe even show some losses, the share price (post government IPO exodus) maybe in the red, but make no mistake, the company will be much healthier then than now…and firmly on the right track to return to glory.
/thanks to Chris Liddell