
The collapse of the new car market has been breathtaking and appears to be quickening its pace.
Tuesday all the automakers reported sales that were as an industry down a total of 41% compared to February 2008. GM led the loss with 53%, followed by Ford with 48% and Chrysler with 44%. Toyota posted a 40% drop, Honda dropped 36%, and Nissan dropped 37%.
This pace of sales equates to about 9.1 million vehicles per year in North America, the lowest since 1981. This is down from its peak of over 17 million.
Per Standard and Poors equity research analyst Efraim Levy “We are in an automotive depression amid ‘The Great Recession,’ as shell-shocked consumers fearful for their jobs, the value of their homes, and stock market assets are wary of making the sizable discretionary purchases of new vehicles.”
Along with these sales woes, even Toyota and Honda are now reported to be requesting government loans from Japan. Toyota has asked for $2 billion, and Honda is asking for $100 million (source).
Meanwhile the Presidents Task Force on Autos is reviewing GM and Chrysler’s restructuring plans. They have met with GM’s top executives and will be meeting with GM’s bondholders today. GM needs $2 billion more by the end of March in order to stay solvent. That date is also when the Auto Task Force is expected to decide on whether GM and Chrysler get more loan money, or be allowed to enter into bankruptcy. Toyota too will be meeting with the Auto Task Force (source).
Ominously, today GM’s auditors issued a going concern statement in a 10-K filing raising doubts that the company can survive. They wrote “The corporation’s recurring losses from operations, stockholders’ deficit, and inability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its obligations and sustain its operations raise substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.”
Further the statement said “If we fail to [execute the Viability Plan successfully], we would not be able to continue as a going concern and could potentially be forced to seek relief through a filing under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code.”
Finally it was written “there is no assurance that the global automobile market will recover or that it will not suffer a significant further downturn.”
And all the while we hope for our Volts and a country less dependent on oil.
UPDATE | GM Issues the following statement:
Auditors are required to assess whether there is substantial doubt about an entity’s ability to continue as a going concern over the next year. Given GM’s public statements on our liquidity position dating back to the end of 2008 and more fully disclosed in our February 17 viability plan submission, the opinion rendered in our 10-K was not unexpected.
That opinion is dependent on a number of factors including our ability to execute our viability plan, compliance with our U.S. Treasury loans, volume recovery of the industry, and access to additional funding from the U.S. and certain other governments. Once global automotive sales recover and GM’s restructuring actions generate the anticipated savings and benefits, the company is expected to again be able to fund its own operating requirements.
The auditor’s opinion has no impact on the aggressive actions we are taking to restructure our business for long-term viability.