Archive for February, 2008

 

Feb 29

More Details on Pricing the Volt

 

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Recently we heard a statement from Dee Allen of GM about the Volt costing around $35,000. Since it’s of tremendous interest and importance, I decided to look into this in more detail. I managed to catch up with Mr. Allen who it turns out is GMs spokesperson on global product and brands, and pretty much Bob Lutz’ communication guy. We had the following discussion:

How is the $35,000 number generated, since the car isn’t built yet how do you know what it will cost?

We put together estimates, the vehicle itself and then estimates for the different kind of equipment it will carry and the engine. You go through and do a cost analysis. We’ve been working on that and one of the things, and I’m just repeating what Bob said, I’m not the expert on this, is, we were down in Dallas speaking to some of the reporters, and that’s where he said instead of around $30,000, its around $35,000 and the reason is that when we got started on this we didn’t anticipate so many of the vehicle systems that are currently in existence that we’re using on vehicles were building today are fairly high energy users. The examples are things like windshield wipers and 8-speaker sound systems and so on. We don’t usually think of them as big energy users particularly because we’ve got so much energy being generated by the gasoline engine. You don’t end up studying how much electrical draw there is normally on each of those things as your driving down the road. Now all of a sudden were tackling a vehicle that as you know were targeting for 40 or more miles on a charge. Thats when you realize that is your driving that vehicle when its raining or cold outside and your using a heater and your using the windshield wipers you using up motive energy.

So one of the things that the team has been doing is working on low energy usage systems that we would use on the Volt so that you don’t draw energy and reduce your driving radius.

When you did the initial computer modelling before announcing the concept wasn’t that idea of using lower power components considered?

As far as I know from what Bob was saying, some of those things were not considered. To some extent you take these things for granted. As people are used to high power stereo systems and A/C and it takes energy. What Bob was saying is he was absolutely amazed how much power the stereo uses. Most of us think of A/C as being a major energy user, but people don’t think that using the radio may impact their mileage. When you’re counting on the battery, then you all of a sudden realize that any load you put on it will reduce it.

Are you saying the new components will have to replace the ones that are typically used, since you cant use off the shelf components, and will that increase the cost?

Well yes you have engineering costs going into doing that and tooling costs and so on. Your essentially doing some new componentry that obviously has some design engineering and manufacturing cost associated with it. And one of the things that Bob explained was that there are things we could do, for example if we come up with a low wattage windshield wiper system, lets say, if we spend a lot of time on it there probably things we could do to take cost out of that system, as we’re designing it there are always improvements you can find. But when you are working against a tight deadline like we are, for us this is like a “moon-shot”and we set a goal for the team and were going to try like the devil to make that goal and so when you’ve got that kind of a time constraint on it we are going to go for a solution rather than perhaps the most cost effective solution.

Are you saying you will have to engineer design and manufacturing these components (i.e. windshield wipers) in house?

Or outsourcing them.

Is there a problem with finding suppliers or their ability to ramp up production?

Even if were not talking about the Volt and were talking about any product, there are two ways to go about that. GM can do the designing or we can go to a supplier and say this is what we need and these are the parameters and ask them to do the design work. Either way there is design work involved and of course the engineering of the design, what we call design engineering, and of course testing, etc. Using the windshield wiper as an example, you have to go through rigorous testing as this is essentially a safety device. So now you have to do testing and simulate usage over a long period of time and it has to be able to hold up to snow and ice.

Has GM actually started the process of designing these new systems?

Absolutely. This program is unique in the annals (of automotive history), but the way were going about this is were designing a unique powerplant, a unique vehicle, and unique components to go into the vehicle, and were doing it all simultaneously. It didn’t take long to realize that wed needed to use low power systems.

When we showed the concept to people, the design work was done without a whole lot of testing. When we made the call and put it in the wind tunnel, Bob likes to describe it as “a brick”. Aero work isn’t usually done on a concept that you’d show at an auto show.

With this type of vehicle that is going to use electric power, every part of the vehicle that draws off the power or anything aerodynamic can lead to a loss of range.

Don’t you have components from the EV-1 like the windshield wipers and stereo that you can use for the Volt?

In some cases yes, and I’ll tell you the things that we learned from the EV-1 as I’m sure Frank (Weber) has said, it gives us tremendous advantage because we do have experience. I don’t know about the (actual EV-1) parts, we didn’t exactly mass-produce EV-1s either. That was also a little while ago, and in many cases for example the windshield wipers have to be fitted to the type, size, and shape of the vehicle.

When Bob Lutz discussed the pricing update, did he say closer to $40,000 or exactly $35,000, what were his exact words?

What Bob said was that our original goal was targeted around the $30,000 mark and now as we’ve gotten into it more deeply and with the development work we’ve been doing, I wish it wasn’t so, but its probably going to be more like $35,000. The explanation was what you and I have already talked about.

Does the $35,000 price refer to actually owning the battery pack or not include leasing the battery?

I could say if I knew, but I don’t know. Maybe thats a question for Bob when we’re together in New York (Volt Nation).

Do you know if the issue of leasing the battery is still on the table?

I honestly don’t know. One of the things we’ve said consistently is that we are going to be a transparent as possible about this, I mean were no going to give daily reports of course, but were going to be transparent about it and were going to let people know how the development is going, and if we run into a hiccup were going to let them know, and if we get successes were going to let them know. Were working with the battery manufacturers right now and were testing battery packs. The batteries have not been an issue at all.

I still see things in the media that the battery will still be an issue because of computers that caught on fire and all that kind of stuff. As Bob says, saying lithium-ion is like saying beer. There are a lot of kind of lihtium-ions like there are a lot of kinds of beer. The lithium ion were using has been great.

Do you know how many packs are GMs possession right now?

I don’t know. I know we’ve had deliveries from both teams. I haven’t talked to Bob about this in the last two weeks, so I really don’t know where we stand.

Do you know if there is an actual pack in a mule yet?

I don’t know. I do know that Bob has said hes going to be driving a mule this Spring. But I don’t know where we stand with that right now.

 

Feb 28

House Passes Energy Bill: Would Take Money from Big Oil to Give Plug-in Car Tax Credits

 

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We have heard that the Chevy Volt could come with a roughly $5000 price premium to early adopters due to the costs of the lithium-ion battery and specialized low-power accessories.

An option that worked for early Prius adopters is the possibility of a U.S.government tax credit to people buying Volts. This could help offset cost and help get the country off petroleum.

As comments on this site had varied both for and against such a credit, it seemed a good idea to take a poll.

The final result of that poll was for 483 respondents 94% voted in favor of tax credits and 6% against.

Yesterday bill HR 5351 was voted on in the house, and was passed. The bill takes tax money from oil companies, to the tune of $18 billion over ten years, and uses it to pay for among other things a plug-in tax credit of $4000 plus $200 per kWh for cars with a battery capacity greater than 5 kWh.

Thus, if this bill were to become law, Big Oil would give you $7200 back if you bought a Volt.

Not surprisingly, Big Oil doesn’t like this idea much. A similar bill made it through the house last summer but died in the Senate.

Also, President Bush has already said he’d veto this bill if it makes it to his desk.

Source (AP)

 

Feb 27

Chevron Has Nothing to do with the Volt

 

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I have just received official confirmation from GM that Chevron/Cobasys has nothing to do with the Chevy Volt, the source article of the last post was incorrect in that assertion.

 

Feb 27

Chevron and the Chevy Volt?

 

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The Car Connection just broke a story that the battery supplier Cobasys, which makes the nickel-metal hydride cells for GM’s hybrid Aura, Malibu, and VUEs is in deep financial trouble. Cobasys is co-controlled by oil giant Chevron, who is apparently in a financial dispute with the other co-controlling company, EDC.

The article goes on to say that GM has actually opted to buy the batteries for their new 2-mode hybrids (Tahoe, Yukon, Escalade, and Sierra) for none other than Toyota-Panasonic.

Perhaps the most concerning, yet uncorroborated and undetailed comment was:

“Cobasys also has a key contract in the development of GM’s much-anticipated plug-in hybrid, the Volt”

Source (The Car Connection)

 

Feb 27

Will Mass Use of Plug-in Cars Increase Air Pollution?

 

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We have reviewed and discussed the EPRI study which suggested mass-adoption of electric cars can be handled by the power grid, will result in net reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and dramatically reduce U.S. petroleum consumption.

A more recent study by GM suggests E-REV use will reduce tailpipe emissions by 80%.

In the USA Today, two studies , one by the National Resources Defense Council and the other by the  Minnesota Pollution Control Agency were reported.

As we already know, the Chevy Volt is essentially a coal-burning car, because right now, the majority of U.S. electricity is produced at coal-burning powerplants.

As per the NRDC report, if the elecricity is generated in older-technology coal plants, “there is a possibility for significant increases of soot and mercury,” .

The second study suggested “plug-ins also could result in more sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions,” and mentions “SO2 is toxic in large amounts and is a component of corrosive acid rain”.  This study also apparently contradicted the prior EPRI study in concluding that PHEV use could increase CO2 emissions.

Source (USA Today)

 

Feb 26

Lithium-ion Battery Separators

 

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In discussing the Volt, we are often concerned with the working of the lithium-ion battery. Still not-yet-ready for prime-time, these types of batteries a great for cars because they can hold a lot of power and energy in a small size and weight.

The batteries work as electrons (electricity) flow between the anode (usually graphite or carbon) and the cathode. The cathodes vary by manufacturer, but A123 uses iron nanophosphate, and LG Chem a manganese spinel. Current is generated as the lithium ions flow through the solution.

An understated player in this electric orchestra is the separator.

The separator is generally a film-like material, made of electrically insulating polymer polyolefins that prevents electrons from flowing directly from anode to cathode, allowing them instead to flow out to the electric motor (in the case of an EV).

These separators have to be porous as well, to allow lithium ions to pass through. The more porous they are, the more energy can travel. On the other hand, they are also the critical determinant of the batteries safety, ruptured membranes (in the case of laptop-type or lithium cobalt oxide batteries) have been implicated in thermal runaway (explosion) events.

Automotive battery applications require specialized separators to deal with the large-format sizes of the cells as well as the need to allow very high energy and power flow, and have high melt strength.

We have heard ExxonMobil has developed a new improved automotive separator. How it works, per the source article is “ExxonMobil uses a wet process to dissolve polyethylene resin in an organic solvent. Evaporation of the solvent leaves behind a porous film. The company’s breakthrough is to coextrude multiple film layers, each of which imparts different characteristics.”

For safety, certain layers can close the pores if temperatures exceed 140 degrees Celsius, effectively shutting down the current flow.

So clearly the separator may very well be the unsung hero of the Chevy Volt’s battery pack after all.

Source (Chemical and Engineering News)